Why Bitcoin Won’t Go to Zero in 2026
Grete Suarez
25 feb 2026
Bitcoin’s sharp swings have reignited a debate over whether the world’s largest cryptocurrency could ever collapse entirely. Despite dramatic losses, proponents argue structural features and persistent demand make a zero valuation unlikely. Critics, including Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz, warn that regulatory pressures and speculative excess could sharply depress prices.
What is Bitcoin and how did it start
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that allows peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries like banks. It was introduced in 2008 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto in the whitepaper Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. The network uses blockchain technology, a distributed ledger that records every transaction, making it secure and transparent.
Bitcoin’s limited supply, capped at 21 million coins, and cryptographic security have made it both a store of value and a popular speculative asset. Its origins as a response to the 2008 financial crisis shaped its role as “digital gold” in the eyes of many investors.
Bitcoin market volatility and recent losses
Bitcoin has lost roughly 50 percent from its October 2025 highs, dipping below 55,000€ towards the end of February 2026. The decline has not only rattled crypto investors but also affected tech stocks and broader risk assets, according to a Barron’s article published February 5, 2026.
“Bitcoin is in freefall with more pain likely to come, and that fear has spilled into broader markets,” Dennis Follmer, chief investment officer at Montis Financial told Barron’s. Analysts noted that Bitcoin’s downturn is contributing to declines in tech stocks, highlighting the growing connection between digital and traditional assets.
Reasons Bitcoin is unlikely to reach zero
Supporters highlight several reasons why Bitcoin may never reach zero:
Scarcity: Bitcoin’s total supply is capped at 21 million coins, and most have already been mined, creating a natural floor to supply.
Long-term holders: A large portion of Bitcoin is held long-term by HODLers (Hold On for Dear Life), suggesting enduring demand even during market downturns.
Active network use: Bitcoin’s blockchain is used in transactions, financial products, and institutional adoption, providing value beyond speculation.
Economist Adam Hayes notes that production costs and network effects create a baseline value, challenging the notion that Bitcoin is purely speculative.
Critics warning about Bitcoin price risk
Notable skeptics argue Bitcoin’s volatility and regulatory risk leave room for extreme downside:
Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel laureate in economics, has argued Bitcoin exists largely because of criminal uses, and curbing those could “regulate it out of existence.”
Economists like Paul Krugman and Robert Shiller have described Bitcoin as speculative, warning of crashes but stopping short of predicting a total collapse.
Even critics who describe Bitcoin as lacking fundamental value acknowledge that total annihilation is unlikely so long as some users see worth in the network.
Early adopter Adam Back limit order creates Bitcoin price backstop
Bitcoin early adopters are adamant it won’t go to zero. In 2020, Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream and one of the cryptographic pioneers behind Bitcoin, placed a limit order to buy all 21 million bitcoins at $0.02 on Bitfinex. The order, designed as a backstop to prevent a total collapse, was later canceled after he purchased BTC at prevailing market prices instead.
Back’s move was symbolic since more than a million bitcoins are still inaccessible in cold storage or held by institutions. It highlights the conviction among early adopters that Bitcoin’s price has a floor.
Bitcoin Standard Treasury plans public listing led by Adam Back
Back has also doubled down with his faith in the cryptocurrency. He recently told CNBC that his Bitcoin treasury vehicle, Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), is advancing its plans to go public and is seeking shareholder approval as early as April 2026 to complete a public listing via a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) merger with Cantor Equity Partners I.
Back and other founding shareholders plan to contribute 25,000 BTC, with an additional 5,000 BTC from early investors, for a total of 30,000 BTC on BSTR’s balance sheet at the time of listing. Back has said that the recent weakening in Bitcoin’s price could be an opportunity for BSTR to strengthen its reserves at lower reference prices, potentially increasing long-term upside if market conditions improve. He also attributed downward pressure on Bitcoin more to macroeconomic factors such as geopolitical tensions and tariff uncertainty than to a negative regulatory environment.
This news has been interpreted by some analysts as a sign of continued institutionalization of Bitcoin, even amid price volatility, reinforcing the narrative that Bitcoin’s ecosystem continues to evolve and attract capital beyond retail speculation.
Bitcoin risks are still high
Bitcoin’s architecture, including scarcity and decentralized network adoption, provides reasons why a zero valuation is improbable. Yet volatility, regulatory intervention, and speculative excess mean investors should remain cautious.
Bitcoin remains a volatile but resilient asset, speculative yet increasingly integrated into global finance. Total collapse is theoretically possible but highly improbable, a testament to the network’s enduring appeal and the belief among pioneers that Bitcoin’s floor is well above zero.

Grete Suarez is a financial journalist covering personal finance and investing in Spain; former Goldman Sachs and Deloitte, published by Quartz and Yahoo Finance, and produced live news at CNN and Fox Business
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